Specific-Opinion
0x6fe60e400d117b248133dc4fbb65dc23db74d2e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$15.14
Total PnL
$-7.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.74
$0.01
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.85
$0.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.73
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$1.72
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.64
$0.00
- NO
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.47
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.44
$0.01
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.38
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.17
$0.01
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12?$1.85Jul 13, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?$1.73Jul 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?$1.73Jul 11, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12?$1.85Jul 11, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 6?$1.80Jul 6, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 6?$1.79Jul 5, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$1.28Jul 4, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.61Jul 1, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?$1.15Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?$1.27Jun 29, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?$1.15Jun 29, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.52Jun 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.52Jun 14, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.61Jun 14, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$2.73Jun 1, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.73May 9, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.85Apr 30, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.43Apr 29, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.16Apr 29, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.64Apr 15, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 04:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.