0x6fe61b0f38fd9c5d6ff969143bfff9dff7b02a8d
0x6fe61b0f38fd9c5d6ff969143bfff9dff7b02a8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$20.18
Total PnL
$2.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$4.54
$2.54
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.15
$1.15
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$2.61
$0.61
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.55
$0.55
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
4 shares @ 51.1¢·now 48.4¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.51
$-0.02
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.79
$-1.21
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?$2.06Aug 9, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$2.78Aug 8, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?$0.00Aug 8, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$0.00Aug 7, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 6, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$2.06Aug 5, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$4.55Aug 5, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?$0.00Aug 5, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$2.00Aug 5, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$2.03Aug 4, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.00Aug 4, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$2.56Aug 4, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$2.67Aug 4, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?$2.05Aug 4, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?$2.03Aug 3, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?$2.07Aug 3, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$2.00Aug 3, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$2.04Aug 3, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2.00Aug 2, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.