0x6fe6a8869a9c80f6da7f08827dc499c05ea325dc
0x6fe6a8869a9c80f6da7f08827dc499c05ea325dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$5.57
Total PnL
$-40.97
Realised
$2.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will France have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, Italy, and Spain on March 1st?
2 shares @ 44.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2022$2.24
$1.24
- NO
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be between 41.3% and 41.5%?
1 shares @ 78.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2022$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will 'Café con aroma de mujer: Season 1' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 30?
1 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2022$1.06
$0.07
- LONG
How much will “Scream” (2022) gross domestically on opening weekend?
2 shares @ 63.6¢·now 62.8¢·exp Jan 17, 2022$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
NBA: Will the Spurs beat the Thunder by more than 6.5 points in their January 19 matchup?
236 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2022$0.00
$-19.06
- NO
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Terra (LUNA) reach $100 again by January 10?
28 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
NHL: Will the Avalanche beat the Ducks by more than 1.5 goals in their January 19 matchup?
21 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2022$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Rockets by more than 12.5 points in their January 19 matchup?
17 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2022$0.00
$-5.95
- YES
Will the Green Bay Packers win the ‘21-’22 Superbowl?
8 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2022$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.