Forsaken-Picture
0x6ff32ce96d88c83191c461732eed1d2da0334b1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$29.87
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-16.73
Win rate
0%
183 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 20?
9 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$8.91
$2.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?
8 shares @ 78.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$7.17
$0.99
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 20?
8 shares @ 79.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.46
$-0.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?
9 shares @ 76.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$5.26
$-1.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 21?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$3.08
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 8?
46 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 7?
25 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 18?
25 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.69
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 10?
24 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?
24 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 21?$3.45Aug 20, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?$6.25Aug 20, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$6.85Aug 20, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 19?$5.00Aug 19, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?$7.92Aug 19, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 20?$6.32Aug 19, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 20?$1.81Aug 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 20?$1.76Aug 19, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 19?$8.91Aug 19, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 20?$3.70Aug 19, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 20?$6.77Aug 19, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?$3.60Aug 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 19?$6.48Aug 18, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?$5.00Aug 18, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 19?$6.94Aug 18, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 17?$5.00Aug 18, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 17?$5.00Aug 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 19?$1.81Aug 17, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 18?$1.65Aug 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 18?$2.16Aug 17, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
60/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 183 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
183 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 05:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 183 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.