Envious-Banyan
0x7007eefec0da2b26133d81ae280760da860f8e0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.04
Total PnL
$-2.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 45% and 47%?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 45% and 47%?$1.20Nov 8, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.00Nov 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.50Nov 8, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$1.03Nov 8, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?$1.04Nov 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?$1.00May 15, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 48°F or below on March 28?$1.00May 15, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?$2.17May 15, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?$3.04May 15, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 48°F or below on March 28?$1.00Mar 27, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.01Mar 27, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Rebounds?$1.01Mar 27, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?$1.97Mar 27, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?$2.00Mar 2, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?$2.00Mar 2, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?$3.00Mar 2, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?$1.02Mar 2, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$2.02Mar 2, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?$1.00Jan 12, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$1.00Jan 12, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.