White-Glider
0x701ea5f00edb587fe297501039fb92124ef027ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.81
Realised
$-3.31
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?
317 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.21
- NO
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
48 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.82
- YES
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?
19 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.26
- NO
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?
16 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
11 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?
9 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?
7 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?
5 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Rams win the NFC Championship?$1.05Jan 18, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$0.00Jan 11, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 11, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bengals win the AFC Championship?$0.00Jan 11, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?$0.00Jan 11, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$0.00Jan 11, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Flex Player?$0.00Jan 11, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Nevada by 2.0%-3.0%? $0.00Jan 11, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$1.03Dec 19, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?$0.25Dec 15, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bengals win the AFC Championship?$0.24Dec 8, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.26Dec 8, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$1.18Dec 2, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Flex Player?$0.28Nov 30, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?$0.28Nov 29, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.24Nov 29, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$0.82Nov 27, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?$0.20Nov 26, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?$0.18Nov 26, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Nevada by 2.0%-3.0%? $0.32Nov 23, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $0.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 04:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.