Capital-Bouquet
0x702e2cd7a34372405f24534e25012a6da4284357
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-652.42
Realised
$160.30
Win rate
74%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 92.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$42.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?
703 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$702.61
$11.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?
243 shares @ 89.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$241.94
$24.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?
180 shares @ 43.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$179.46
$101.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?
150 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$149.92
$12.77
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?
141 shares @ 45.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$131.12
$67.57
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?
150 shares @ 82.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$114.75
$-8.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?
100 shares @ 71.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$99.95
$28.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 12?
100 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$99.94
$3.45
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 12?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$98.35
$12.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?$15.84Jul 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 13?$11.70Jul 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?$2.56Jul 12, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 13?$7.23Jul 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?$39.50Jul 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?$44.76Jul 12, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$89.60Jul 12, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?$11.00Jul 12, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?$2.65Jul 12, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?$5.79Jul 12, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 13?$25.06Jul 12, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?$17.20Jul 12, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$18.32Jul 12, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$17.10Jul 12, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$4.32Jul 12, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?$23.40Jul 12, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$4.54Jul 12, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?$7.20Jul 12, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?$1.55Jul 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?$1.55Jul 12, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
74% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $23.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.