Well-To-Do-Sympathy
0x703db7ef007ed0da224f62d5a9b9db73ec7268f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$33.43
Total PnL
$-61.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.50
$0.50
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$2.05Jun 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?$1.03Jun 18, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jun 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 17, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.06Jun 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 17, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?$1.03Jun 16, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?$2.06Jun 16, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia? AND Exact Score: Any Other Score?$2.06Jun 16, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$25.00Jun 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$2.06Jun 15, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16?$1.07Jun 15, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00Jun 15, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.03Jun 15, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.07Jun 15, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.30Jun 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.02Jun 15, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.06Jun 15, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 21:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 09:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.