Animated-Loincloth
0x70488a69c58ba132cbefa83251a53de192b78205
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$118.60
Total PnL
$-60.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of July 6 above $170?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$72.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Meta (META) finish week of July 6 above $520?
35 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$35.10
$0.11
- NO
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.43
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 26?
688 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 4?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 19?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of July 6 above $520?$35.00Jul 9, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of July 6 above $170?$72.00Jul 9, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in June?$107.11Jul 9, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in June?$107.00Jun 30, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$95.10Jun 19, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.02Jun 1, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$95.01May 31, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.00May 31, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?$106.11May 31, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?$106.01May 30, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$11.45May 30, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$118.24May 30, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$118.00May 30, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$8.45May 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?$12.07May 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$97.10May 30, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$97.01May 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?$12.06May 28, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$109.22May 28, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$109.01May 27, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $78.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.