0x704dd2df4829291a22b9102194e8c56774cb8653
0x704dd2df4829291a22b9102194e8c56774cb8653
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.74
Total PnL
$-20.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$1.97
$0.98
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.77
$-0.23
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 4AM ET
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
68 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
60 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4AM ET
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 6, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.35Feb 6, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$0.82Feb 6, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$1.00Feb 6, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.15Feb 6, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Feb 6, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.17Feb 6, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.00Feb 4, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$7.28Feb 4, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Feb 4, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.05Feb 4, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Feb 4, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Feb 4, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.