Stable-Albatross
0x705307d0963e39b531bac54a687b17b261fc25e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.58
Total PnL
$-12.6K
Realised
$-632.96
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.58
$-9.42
- YES
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?
2155 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-538.60
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
1505 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-562.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
1355 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-501.50
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?
1139 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-491.47
- YES
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
866 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-460.00
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
855 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-393.52
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
509 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-315.00
- YES
Will Madagascar win on 2026-06-02?
473 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?
411 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-185.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$20.10Jun 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$10.12Jun 17, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$5.03Jun 17, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMAustria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score$11.11Jun 17, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score$5.08Jun 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-17?$5.13Jun 17, 03:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$14.61Jun 16, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.03Jun 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.03Jun 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score$20.33Jun 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$0.02Jun 16, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $18.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.