Elderly-Gander
0x705b7c7bcb1683d130ae08f9460d0dab386a3fd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$96.50
Total PnL
$-276.28
Realised
$7.42
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?
10 shares @ 59.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.99
$4.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 18?
10 shares @ 65.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.99
$3.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 18?
10 shares @ 65.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.99
$3.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 18?
10 shares @ 65.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.99
$3.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?
10 shares @ 59.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.99
$4.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?
10 shares @ 65.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.94
$3.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 19?
10 shares @ 65.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$8.05
$1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?
12 shares @ 66.5¢·now 62.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$7.44
$-0.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?
10 shares @ 59.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$6.35
$0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 19?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$3.55
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?$3.96Aug 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?$2.95Aug 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?$3.00Aug 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 20?$0.10Aug 18, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?$4.02Aug 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?$0.99Aug 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?$2.26Aug 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?$3.30Aug 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?$2.95Aug 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?$3.00Aug 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?$3.25Aug 18, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?$3.30Aug 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 19?$3.30Aug 18, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 24?$2.95Aug 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 18?$3.25Aug 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 18?$3.30Aug 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 18?$3.25Aug 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 18?$3.30Aug 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?$2.95Aug 17, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?$3.00Aug 17, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 08:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.