Fumbling-Man
0x7062617bfceab9fbfcc5e8e3d47cc871862148b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 9?
6700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 9?
5600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?
4132 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 9?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
511 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
52 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.30Dec 10, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$1.27Dec 10, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 9?$6.70Dec 9, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 9?$5.60Dec 9, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 9?$4.00Dec 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$4.60Dec 4, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 4, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$10.00Oct 19, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$10.00Oct 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?$30.00Oct 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$50.00Oct 17, 12:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $11.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".