Solid-Goodnight
0x706e74d5d61dc7afbfda8cbf1808d25550ca93be
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.32
Total PnL
$-3.32
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 106°F or higher on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$0.00
- NO
Will Bangladesh win?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
US bank failure by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $4.00–4.25 in November?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will Whatnot: Shop, Sell, Collect be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.59
- YES
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.58
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 30?$3.69Jun 29, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by June 30?$3.93Jun 29, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 30?$4.74Jun 29, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by June 30?$5.00Jun 29, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?$1.00Jun 29, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 106°F or higher on June 30?$8.86Jun 29, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh win?$1.00Jun 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 106°F or higher on June 30?$10.00Jun 29, 17:45 UTC
- REWARD$6.09Jun 22, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.01Jun 21, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$1.06Jun 21, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.11Jun 21, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.14Jun 21, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.70 May 18-24?$1.00May 31, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?$1.13May 31, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$1.02May 23, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.03May 23, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 18 2026?$1.05May 23, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.06May 23, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$1.06May 23, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.