Growing-Defendant
0x7072911fc4967d2c0d1839163d3f20856715e65c
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$132.76
Total PnL
$7.35
Realised
$-3.30
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
107 shares @ 3.8¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$39.00
$34.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
107 shares @ 3.8¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$26.18
$22.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
28 shares @ 70.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$19.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
107 shares @ 3.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$10.15
$6.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
11 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$9.70
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$7.76
$-2.24
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
107 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$3.90
$-0.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
107 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.12
$-2.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$5.25Jul 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$9.62Jul 21, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.30Jul 21, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.10Jul 21, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.10Jul 21, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$5.21Jul 21, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 21, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 21, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 21, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$10.16Jul 21, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$20.29Jul 21, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$3.04Jul 21, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$67.93Jul 21, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$8.08Jul 21, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?$10.75Jul 20, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?$5.68Jul 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$20.76Jul 20, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.10Jul 20, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$9.56Jul 20, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$10.34Jul 20, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.