0x7075a2bc86e677ebdb137c1acfacc22a8eac93a5
0x7075a2bc86e677ebdb137c1acfacc22a8eac93a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$16.91
Total PnL
$-20.72
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- OVER
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$9.84
$5.12
- YES
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.20
$-3.60
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 22.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.46
$-6.34
- YES
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?
5 shares @ 17.4¢·now 11.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.58
$-0.29
- YES
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
380 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$0.57
$-8.78
- YES
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$0.20
$-0.33
- YES
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
20 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.05
$-0.28
- YES
Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?
44 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
Will Ollie Watkins be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
40 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will Ryan Huska win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$4.40Apr 21, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?$3.40Apr 21, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?$3.40Apr 21, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$4.40Apr 21, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)$3.36Apr 21, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?$0.53Apr 21, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?$0.87Apr 21, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Huska win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.02Apr 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.33Apr 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.80Apr 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$18.40Apr 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?$0.17Apr 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?$0.30Apr 21, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?$0.30Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ollie Watkins be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ollie Watkins be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.02Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record?$0.30Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$0.63Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$0.56Apr 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$0.60Apr 21, 07:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 17:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.