Dapper-Mast
0x707746cf3e3962f7b41760448e0dbdee0e46a7ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$20.96
Total PnL
$0.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- YES
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
4 shares @ 22.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.39
$3.39
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 84.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 71.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.24
$0.24
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13 shares @ 15.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-1.06
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 28.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$0.36
$-0.64
- NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$1.00Jun 4, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$1.00Jun 4, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$1.12Jun 4, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.42Jun 4, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$1.00Apr 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$1.00Apr 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 13, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 13, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$0.00Apr 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Apr 1, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$0.00Apr 1, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$3.19Apr 1, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 1, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Mar 20, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$4.04Mar 11, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Percent" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?$0.00Mar 11, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.