Obvious-Accident
0x7081a9381c12e5ae7910a3bff76fa957d646bc4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?
2905 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?
1471 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will KB Home (KBH) beat quarterly earnings?
694 shares @ 86.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?
681 shares @ 77.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-525.00
- YES
Will Lennar Corp (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?
576 shares @ 86.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?
542 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-117.60
- KNICKS
Pacers vs. Knicks
437 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-279.67
- NO
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?
391 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-39.00
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
94 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?
90 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?$990.00Jan 1, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?$1000.00Jan 1, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?$1000.00Jan 1, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$0.19Jan 1, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$549.30Jan 1, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Bulls$842.77Jan 1, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Red Wings$1.6KJan 1, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Bulls$171.00Jan 1, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$171.36Jan 1, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Red Wings$797.00Jan 1, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Red Wings$300.00Jan 1, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$300.00Jan 1, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Red Wings$200.00Jan 1, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Bulls$400.00Jan 1, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$2.0KJan 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.9KDec 19, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$500.00Dec 19, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?$2.2KDec 19, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?$275.60Dec 19, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Dec 19, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $506.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".