Adored-Catastrophe
0x708676c2ca22780176c564a2c50a2f7023264b4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$24.53
Total PnL
$-18.01
Realised
$0.62
Win rate
43%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- UNDER
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
2 shares @ 44.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$2.45
$1.37
- NO
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
2 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.00
$1.50
- NO
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-04?
2 shares @ 65.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$1.92
$0.66
- ROBERT MORRIS COLONIALS
Wright State Raiders vs. Robert Morris Colonials
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- PROVIDENCE FRIARS
Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- UNDER
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 129.5
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
1 shares @ 79.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 79.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.26
$0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Knicks$1.00Feb 5, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYArkansas State Red Wolves vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers$1.00Feb 5, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLArkansas State Red Wolves vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers$0.88Feb 5, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Blue Jackets$1.00Feb 5, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$1.20Feb 5, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWright State Raiders vs. Robert Morris Colonials$1.00Feb 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYArkansas State Red Wolves vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers$1.00Feb 5, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYButler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars$1.00Feb 5, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?$1.77Feb 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 5?$1.85Feb 4, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Alabama Jaguars vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 129.5$1.00Feb 4, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$1.00Feb 4, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5$1.00Feb 4, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRed Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5$0.84Feb 4, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-04?$1.00Feb 4, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$1.22Feb 4, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-04?$1.62Feb 4, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 6?$1.00Feb 4, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 5?$1.00Feb 4, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$1.00Feb 4, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 02:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".