Anguished-Suet
0x7087a91a4968fceed26c05578ee50c1ace9b39ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 21?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?
763 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
553 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
243 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2PM ET
32 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2PM ET$8.00Jan 28, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$4.85Jan 22, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?$4.84Jan 22, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$5.00Jan 22, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$5.01Jan 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?$9.99Jan 22, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$4.79Jan 21, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$4.71Jan 21, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 21, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Jan 21, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 21?$4.00Jan 21, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$4.08Jan 21, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?$4.58Jan 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$3.66Jan 21, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Jan 21, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$5.00Jan 21, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$5.00Jan 21, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?$15.92Jan 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?$9.67Jan 21, 07:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.