Outstanding-Double
0x709e41127eb3c7215d03526b174eef53b8f173e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$35.45
Total PnL
$0.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
3 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C on July 24?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.48
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 25?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.46
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on July 25?
2 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.37
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 26?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$1.42
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 25?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.41
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C on July 25?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.41
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 26?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 26?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 26?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$1.39
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 26?$1.40Jul 24, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 26?$1.20Jul 24, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 26?$1.20Jul 24, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 25?$1.00Jul 24, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 25?$1.30Jul 24, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 24?$1.45Jul 24, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 24?$1.42Jul 24, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 24?$1.49Jul 24, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 24?$1.11Jul 24, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 24, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or below on July 21?$0.00Jul 24, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 24, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 24, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 24, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 24?$3.04Jul 24, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 24?$1.43Jul 24, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 24?$1.40Jul 24, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C on July 24?$1.00Jul 24, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on July 25?$1.00Jul 24, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 24?$1.10Jul 24, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.