Outlying-Candle
0x70b14370b308dab9c078aa72ad989fdc44fc2336
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$2.48
Total PnL
$-369.21
Realised
$47.85
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.48
$-0.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 13?
339 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?
260 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 2AM ET
220 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?
120 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 30?
85 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 3?
80 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 26?
76 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 14?
60 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$8.00Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$3.76Jun 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$4.78Jun 12, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5$10.00Jun 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5$7.95Jun 11, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.61Jun 11, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$0.53Jun 8, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$0.58Jun 8, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$1.66Jun 8, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$1.41Jun 8, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$3.90Jun 7, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$2.80Jun 7, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$0.32Jun 6, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$1.06Jun 6, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$1.53Jun 6, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva$1.17Jun 6, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$1.08Jun 5, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva$2.94May 29, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva$2.38May 29, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5$3.04May 28, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.