United-Info
0x70b4f8a55821dee62d7d8e098c062190f65b4e6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$667.16
Total PnL
$131.18
Realised
$-26.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5583 shares @ 7.4¢·now 11.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$667.16
$255.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?
27400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.40
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after December 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
108 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Flamengo win in regular time against PSG?
80 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 1?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$221.40May 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$197.00Mar 24, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$172.40Feb 8, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?$27.40Jan 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$2.38Jan 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$2.82Jan 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?$22.21Jan 3, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?$10.21Jan 3, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?$4.48Jan 3, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?$0.15Jan 3, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?$5.00Jan 2, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$10.00Jan 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 2, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 1?$5.00Dec 31, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $230-$235 in 2025?$49.54Dec 31, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $230-$235 in 2025?$8.35Dec 30, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.75Dec 30, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?$0.43Dec 30, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $19.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 23:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.