Novel-Deformation
0x70b72f27fd25485ffd2aa1949b845c5c64115745
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$71.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1676 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-574.13
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
1643 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-517.32
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
1064 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-60.20
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?
300 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-134.00
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1)
278 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- TEXANS
Texans vs. Patriots
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from New York/New Jersey?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- 49ERS
49ers vs. Seahawks
154 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by March 31?$5.00May 30, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?$99.99May 30, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Ratones win the LEC 2026 Versus?$65.66Feb 25, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Ratones win the LEC 2026 Versus?$57.78Feb 8, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$437.66Feb 2, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.3KFeb 2, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)$393.48Jan 20, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)$100.00Jan 19, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)$0.00Jan 18, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)$104.76Jan 18, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)$220.00Jan 18, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1)$200.00Jan 18, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from New York/New Jersey?$233.20Jan 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?$2.09Jan 18, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?$2.47Jan 18, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?$2.47Jan 18, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?$3.70Jan 18, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fnatic win the LEC 2026 Versus?$1.24Jan 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?$18.87Jan 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$10.20Jan 18, 13:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".