Colorless-Lightning
0x70bad45e436cb088caa2c90b1f55b1548f43b046
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
3600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
3589 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
3580 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
126 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
77 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-65.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
14 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
5 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- BRYANT BULLDOGS
Bryant Bulldogs vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks
4 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Cavaliers
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- THUNDER
Bucks vs. Thunder
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$65.39Mar 12, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$65.39Mar 12, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$60.18Mar 12, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$70.18Mar 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$61.39Mar 12, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$1.06Mar 12, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$1.54Mar 12, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMTCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights$2.47Mar 12, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMKent State Golden Flashes vs. Bowling Green Falcons$3.20Mar 12, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMMiami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemen$3.57Mar 12, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$4.24Mar 12, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKent State Golden Flashes vs. Bowling Green Falcons$1.28Feb 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights$1.43Feb 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami (OH) RedHawks vs. Massachusetts Minutemen$2.25Feb 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$1.06Feb 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$1.54Feb 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$3.00Feb 17, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMVermont Catamounts vs. Binghamton Bearcats$1.70Feb 17, 12:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $10.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".