Crafty-Toast
0x70bbd366e6b63b175cf17911fc745ae15177b5d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$12.78
Total PnL
$-218.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1345 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.78
$-81.37
- YES
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?
1258 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?
573 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will JD Vance clap between 70–79 times during the State of the Union?
431 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?
58 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-22.57
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Stock Market" during the next White House Press Briefing?
44 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?
12 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$97.65May 10, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.20May 10, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?$4.00Apr 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?$22.57Mar 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?$20.00Mar 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$8.03Mar 15, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?$15.46Mar 8, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.00Mar 4, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?$2.00Mar 4, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?$5.00Mar 4, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?$20.00Mar 4, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$47.06Mar 2, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?$7.00Feb 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$40.00Feb 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?$25.00Feb 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?$10.00Feb 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Stock Market" during the next White House Press Briefing?$5.00Feb 27, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$2.68Feb 27, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$1.00Feb 26, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 11:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.