Granular-Papaya
0x70c2755a53141e458880896f5c2ca863f8d16487
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-291.20
Realised
$-2.19
Win rate
6%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
22 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.15Jul 11, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.01Jul 11, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.05Jul 11, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.00Jul 11, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$5.10Jul 11, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$5.01Jul 11, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.05Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.21Jul 11, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.01Jul 10, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.15Jul 10, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.01Jul 10, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.19Jul 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.19Jul 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.33Jul 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.04Jul 10, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.15Jul 10, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.01Jul 10, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.10Jul 10, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.01Jul 10, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
64 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.