Sardonic-Bangle
0x70c796e5cfaaede5fc6a599a34f04ec4ac972c31
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.70
Total PnL
$-943.22
Realised
$46.33
Win rate
80%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
22 shares @ 4.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.28
$0.32
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?
194 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
4543 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-21.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
3874 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-26.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
3770 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
3300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.06May 29, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.48May 29, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.04May 29, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.07May 16, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.07May 16, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.07May 16, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.06May 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.06May 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.37May 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.06May 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.07May 16, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.05May 16, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$5.11May 16, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.06May 16, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.06May 16, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.06May 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$4.25May 15, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.06May 15, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.05May 15, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$2.21May 15, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 23:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".