Chief-Staircase
0x70c86db9707222c40f5d9ac2f865a4e4c54764a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$61.94
Total PnL
$-231.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 28?
27 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$26.80
$0.40
- NO
Will Trump say "Toyota" this week? (March 8)
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$22.14
$1.77
- YES
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$13.00
$11.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 3?
217 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 29?
195 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 14?
173 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on February 6?
165 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
139 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 21?
134 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.89
- YES
Will A*Teens win Melodifestivalen 2026?
123 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 20?$29.33May 29, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 28?$2.27May 27, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 27?$2.08May 27, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 1?$39.51May 22, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$2.13May 15, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$173.33May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$171.77May 14, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 1?$179.69May 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?$2.59May 9, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 18?$215.14May 7, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 2 above $3.50?$0.00Apr 30, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 20?$28.01Apr 20, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 18?$213.63Apr 18, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21?$0.00Apr 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 14?$1.12Apr 13, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chainlink dip to $6 in March?$245.00Apr 12, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 1?$37.14Apr 1, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 1?$178.25Mar 31, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $6 in March?$243.04Mar 31, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 31?$0.00Mar 31, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $41.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".