Acclaimed-Mrna
0x70cb2cf7844d01c67b805e373f9f6be70f86327f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-213.68
Realised
$-61.12
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 13?
2325 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on February 13?
1354 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 13?
492 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-22.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on February 13?
479 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 14?
428 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 14?
229 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 14?
184 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 14?
112 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 14?
107 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 13?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 15?$5.62Feb 20, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 14?$5.00Feb 15, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 14?$8.33Feb 15, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 14?$8.89Feb 15, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on February 13?$17.62Feb 15, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 14?$3.00Feb 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 14?$3.00Feb 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 14?$2.85Feb 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 13?$1.43Feb 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on February 13?$3.00Feb 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 14?$6.57Feb 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on February 13?$3.00Feb 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 13?$3.00Feb 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on February 13?$3.08Feb 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 14?$6.01Feb 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 14?$1.83Feb 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 13?$3.00Feb 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$3.10Feb 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 13?$3.00Feb 13, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$3.00Feb 13, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.