Harmful-Variability
0x70cca61fbc25c807430fffa8f7716ada04e0ebcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$17.45
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
851 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$17.45
$-0.43
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
31278 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.0K
- YES
Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?
28439 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$18.76Jun 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?$14.20Jul 4, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?$990.00Jul 4, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1000.00Jul 2, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$8.0KApr 6, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$0.00Mar 16, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$9.99Jan 26, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 26, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 26, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 26, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 26, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 26, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 26, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 26, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 26, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 26, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$866.01Jan 25, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$50.00Jan 25, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$10.00Jan 25, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$100.00Jan 25, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $299.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 06:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.