Wiry-Illiteracy
0x70d5425401808051eb0a6675d77c0caa965d4ca2
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
162
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.7K
Realised
$-2.1K
Win rate
45%
126 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
400 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-85.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
400 shares @ 88.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-355.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
400 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-145.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
375 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-120.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
300 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
295 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-32.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
250 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-225.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
250 shares @ 86.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-216.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
247 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-163.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
200 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-82.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$34.64Jul 14, 18:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$22.58Jul 11, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$37.00Jul 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.07Jul 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$2.55Jul 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.68Jul 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$3.75Jul 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$20.45Jul 10, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$50.00Jul 10, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$35.25Jul 10, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$36.00Jul 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.23Jul 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$16.69Jul 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$7.08Jul 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$20.00Jul 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$7.50Jul 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$22.50Jul 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$26.92Jul 10, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$8.08Jul 10, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 126 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
126 closed markets, 45% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 126 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.