Fair-Guava
0x70e26237d6fef16527a1eee7399de142fe0d5c64
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$75.01
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8254 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.16
$-610.82
- YES
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
1077 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.85
$-37.15
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
29947 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
20697 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-299.98
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
2244 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
1818 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
1627 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1538 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?
1476 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
1333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$204.62Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$204.74Jun 13, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$41.16Jun 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$22.41Jun 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$6.80Jun 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$102.14Jun 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$102.61Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$102.10Jun 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$463.77Jun 12, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$102.01Jun 12, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$101.98Jun 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$51.09Jun 12, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$30.00Jun 4, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$29.17Jun 4, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$25.00May 10, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$300.00May 1, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00Apr 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$141.00Apr 24, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $289.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 21:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.