Authentic-Timbale
0x70e357ad694919404510ec75a585e28abd425e8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$0.84
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$-34.45
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 91.5¢·now 76.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
10238 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
5719 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-89.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
4796 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-954.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
4658 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-635.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
4500 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-879.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
3000 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-144.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1689 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
1654 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-143.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$149.78May 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$855.94May 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$29.93May 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$43.29May 26, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$78.33May 26, 00:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.97May 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$5.60May 26, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.51May 26, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$37.58May 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$0.39May 25, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$2.70May 25, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$4.95May 25, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.80May 25, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.80May 25, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$0.90May 25, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$20.00May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$13.50May 25, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$0.11May 25, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$9.78May 25, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$1.80May 25, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $30.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.