Sturdy-Landform
0x70e419baa395c53cdf484eb6f01355a8b8e6135d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-238.73
Realised
$7.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 11?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 29?
2411 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on January 5?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 4?$2.00Apr 29, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 4?$2.14Apr 29, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?$1.07Apr 29, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.14Apr 29, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2.10Apr 29, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.18Apr 1, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$0.82Apr 1, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.20Mar 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 25, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?$2.00Mar 25, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.50Mar 25, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.00Mar 25, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$4.34Mar 7, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 9?$1.40Mar 5, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.39Mar 5, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?$1.93Mar 5, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.93Mar 5, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0.99Mar 5, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".