Trifling-Whisper
0x70e79c42293a5a5aa849c800315adf9aa545de91
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$529.76
Win rate
74%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 14?
4000 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-373.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 14?
3532 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-134.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 20?
3001 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-194.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 26?
3000 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-253.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 26?
3000 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-197.81
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
2000 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-176.51
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 25?
1809 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-81.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 12?
1691 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-464.53
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 12?
1600 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-249.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 15?$1.02Jul 15, 02:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05Jul 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 14?$1.10Jul 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.60Jul 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$2.40Jul 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$3.80Jul 14, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.00Jul 14, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$3.80Jul 14, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$3.90Jul 14, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$3.85Jul 14, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$3.90Jul 14, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 14?$0.06Jul 14, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Jul 14, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$3.75Jul 14, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$10.00Jul 14, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.85Jul 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.75Jul 14, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$15.00Jul 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.90Jul 14, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.95Jul 14, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
74% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.