0x70f83db509e674a62b691446eb76bf4ec278fddd
0x70f83db509e674a62b691446eb76bf4ec278fddd
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
105
Open notional
$12.50
Total PnL
$-94.40
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$2.51
$1.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.61Jul 21, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.02Jul 21, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.96Jul 21, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.52Jul 21, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 08:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 06:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.