Impressionable-Duel
0x70f8b963c76f9826c45aed91ac4f7da83b7e513d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$3.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-14.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$3.00
$1.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
18937 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-56.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
15557 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-33.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
14756 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
14236 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-17.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
7825 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-428.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
4030 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-75.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
3612 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-62.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$28.43Jul 25, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$104.25Jul 25, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$214.44Jul 25, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$7.15Jul 25, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1.18Jul 25, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$6.73Jul 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$7.17Jul 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4.03Jul 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$6.71Jul 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1.64Jul 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1.75Jul 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.43Jul 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.39Jul 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$10.45Jul 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natisha Hiedeman win the 2026 WNBA 3-Point Contest?$0.39Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natisha Hiedeman win the 2026 WNBA 3-Point Contest?$0.16Jul 25, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natisha Hiedeman win the 2026 WNBA 3-Point Contest?$1.10Jul 25, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$900.00Jul 24, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.79Jul 23, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$6.86Jul 23, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 02:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.