Plush-Outfielder
0x70f8bcc286e3693982537890311ed8e64b47ab37
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-214.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
637 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.41
- YES
Will anyone say "Open Source" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?
122 shares @ 86.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-105.51
- YES
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?
80 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-44.80
- YES
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?
80 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams drop out?$1.00May 7, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.73Sep 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 01:25 UTC
- SPLITWill Eric Adams drop out?$1.00Sep 22, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?$31.44Sep 18, 00:34 UTC
- REWARD$3.34Sep 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?$42.00Sep 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$9.03Sep 17, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$39.57Sep 17, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?$20.00Sep 17, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced in 2025?$272.00Sep 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$244.00Sep 16, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?$137.13Sep 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$109.94Sep 9, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on August 31?$52.40Sep 1, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$60.00Sep 1, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?$484.51Aug 22, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?$195.80Aug 22, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?$5.00Aug 22, 19:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $70.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".