Tepid-Mammoth
0x70fb459e4b80ae4917f9645368e1e147b7c6f1f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$230.15
Total PnL
$-106.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 25?
230 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$230.15
$2.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?
205 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 26?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?
197 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on January 30?
194 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 1 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
191 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 28?
186 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 31?
185 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?
143 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 28?
133 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 25?$33.80Jul 25, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 25?$85.88Jul 25, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 25?$107.48Jul 24, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 3?$210.00Jul 24, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 3?$208.53Jul 2, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 31?$224.22Jul 2, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 31?$222.20May 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$191.45May 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$188.96May 29, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?$2.41May 25, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$78.47May 23, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$1.68May 17, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$43.27May 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 11?$1.16May 10, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 28?$103.75May 10, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 28?$102.09Apr 27, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 25?$108.85Apr 27, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 25?$106.89Apr 26, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill $MARU reach $800M in Q1?$121.43Apr 20, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$39.81Apr 12, 14:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $50.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.