Fluid-Fries
0x7105821356d45a1b131d07a2dd3e8b0fd6d5b9bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$116.17
Total PnL
$-520.98
Realised
$120.86
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?
46 shares @ 72.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$45.14
$12.08
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 11?
40 shares @ 72.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$33.80
$4.80
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 11?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$19.94
$1.94
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?
9 shares @ 65.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$8.79
$2.81
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 13?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$6.82
$0.26
- YES
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.74
$0.02
- NO
Will Ambient launch a token by September 30, 2027?
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2027$0.48
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?
3 shares @ 27.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.46
$-0.40
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 17?
1120 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-32.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 17?
377 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-94.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 13?$6.56Aug 10, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10?$55.68Aug 10, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 11?$14.60Aug 10, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 11?$14.40Aug 10, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?$1.80Aug 10, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10?$14.36Aug 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?$1.97Aug 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10?$2.99Aug 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?$4.01Aug 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10?$10.13Aug 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?$2.06Aug 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?$14.00Aug 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10?$15.60Aug 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?$15.20Aug 9, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 9?$10.34Aug 9, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 9?$3.40Aug 9, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 9?$0.81Aug 9, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 9?$3.20Aug 8, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 9?$0.96Aug 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 9?$0.75Aug 8, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 16:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.