Next-Exposure
0x7107ec302a0c5f17dddf2c72da5b0e98db94de5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$259.97
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-2.40
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
260 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$259.97
$0.26
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
600 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-588.92
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
500 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-487.75
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
300 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-297.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
263 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
160 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-44.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?
100 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-97.85
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on July 6?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 6?
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 8?
61 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$350.55Jul 31, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$334.90Jul 31, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$12.38Jul 31, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$600.00Jul 31, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$599.44Jul 31, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$500.00Jul 31, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$479.52Jul 31, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$19.98Jul 31, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$600.00Jul 31, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.38Jul 31, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$6.00Jul 31, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$4.09Jul 31, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$599.44Jul 31, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.38Jul 31, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$4.09Jul 31, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.99Jul 31, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$400.00Jul 31, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$96.22Jul 31, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$200.92Jul 31, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$99.00Jul 31, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $174.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 02:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.