Long-Mortise
0x71212fb0915ddd9bc5d13ba0c30a466c1c57e435
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$97.30
Total PnL
$-25.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$95.09
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 27?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 27?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?
1280 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 18?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
1045 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
1045 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 23?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 13?
990 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$95.01May 27, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 27?$1.20May 27, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 27?$1.00May 27, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27?$1.82May 27, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$99.10May 27, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$99.00May 22, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?$99.10May 22, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?$99.01May 17, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?$1.01May 17, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 12?$1.20May 17, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$20.02May 17, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$76.15May 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$76.01May 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 12?$1.20May 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?$1.00May 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$20.00May 12, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$98.10May 12, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$98.01May 7, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?$98.10May 7, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?$98.01May 2, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $56.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".