Straight-Celeriac
0x7121bb2226c3c3cdac044b5085c762b0043dafd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
6281 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-55.51
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
4904 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-803.41
- YES
DeepSeek R2 released before May?
1984 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-229.57
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
1571 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
442 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released before May?
347 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-89.16
- YES
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-11?
313 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-21.60
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
295 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.19
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
284 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?$5.39Jun 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.30Jan 18, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.38Jan 18, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.18Jan 18, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.57Jan 18, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$0.00Jan 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$17.52Jan 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$19.99Jan 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Jan 17, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.70Jan 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$15.71Jan 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$3.68Jan 15, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$6.47Jan 15, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$5.56Jan 15, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$8.40Jan 7, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$7.00Jan 7, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.00Jan 5, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 5, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $19.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.