0x712be8f7388a7ac628e835463c48ffb6a40e100d
0x712be8f7388a7ac628e835463c48ffb6a40e100d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.9K
Realised
$-853.67
Win rate
1%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
910 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-333.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
878 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-60.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
813 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-311.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
790 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-447.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
697 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-309.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
639 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-26.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
630 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-183.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
605 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-87.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
541 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-191.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
522 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-86.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$10.34Aug 18, 00:20 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$12.41Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$13.20Aug 17, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.64Aug 17, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.75Aug 17, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$19.25Aug 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$12.24Aug 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.69Aug 17, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.00Aug 17, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$8.91Aug 17, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$35.00Aug 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$21.93Aug 17, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$17.10Aug 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$12.55Aug 17, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$16.80Aug 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$5.49Aug 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$6.39Aug 17, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$15.00Aug 17, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$12.60Aug 17, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$82.50Aug 17, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
200 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.