Different-Immigrant
0x7131705207a3116323d425d6cd057485543efb57
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$8.75
Total PnL
$-835.10
Realised
$-1.52
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
95 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.71
$0.71
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.78
$-1.22
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
34 shares @ 5.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.76
$-1.24
- YES
Will Austria win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1474 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1250 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
1225 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
1021 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Austria win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-2.5)$2.04Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 31?$0.00Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$8.57Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$12.22May 30, 15:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $10.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.