Ugly-Dhow
0x7137f1ad7d9fff57677a34600d1297112a150c12
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-86.61
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 8?
6826 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 11?
5162 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 9?
1382 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-158.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 6?
972 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26?$0.01Jul 26, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$0.00Jul 26, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.03Jul 26, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7AM ET$1.03Jul 26, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7AM ET$1.00Jul 26, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 July 20-26?$0.04Jul 26, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 27?$0.20Jul 26, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 27?$0.19Jul 26, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.00Jul 26, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.04Jul 26, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.30Jul 26, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.02Jul 26, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Jul 26, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.05Jul 26, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.02Jul 26, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.01Jul 26, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6AM ET$1.07Jul 26, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$2.30Jul 26, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.04Jul 26, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 6AM ET$1.01Jul 26, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.