Pleasing-Lapdog
0x713df75f7bdc852c7d55643c819c701866fe15d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$19.91
Total PnL
$-34.73
Realised
$-30.64
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
183 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.08
$-0.92
- NO
Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.83
$-0.17
- YES
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18?$10.05Aug 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$10.64Aug 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$10.05Aug 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$4.50Aug 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$5.31Aug 18, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?$65.67Aug 17, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?$7.62Aug 17, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$7.41Aug 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$6.08Aug 17, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Aug 17, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$5.43Aug 17, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?$45.45Aug 17, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$5.03Aug 17, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.17Aug 17, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$22.63Aug 17, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$10.08Aug 17, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$10.10Aug 17, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Aug 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$5.99Aug 17, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$5.20Aug 17, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.