Common-Secret
0x713fcbc58e9dca5b0b306658f4348ea5c293e499
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$17.77
Total PnL
$-22.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.40
$-1.60
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.08
$0.08
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.57
$0.57
- NO
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.46
$0.04
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by between 27% and 29.9% in December?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
8 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.60May 17, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KMay 17, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 15?$6.38May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-15?$7.87May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C or higher on May 15?$13.01May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 15?$13.16May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 15?$16.02May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 15?$28.03May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 15?$138.27May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 15?$269.78May 17, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 15?$500.50May 17, 11:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.58May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$317.92May 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.00May 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.4KMay 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$162.62May 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$60.00May 16, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.2KMay 16, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$160.00May 16, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $678.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.