0x71410c0f863c0e076b196a0453b3a0c8bbcf2c8e
0x71410c0f863c0e076b196a0453b3a0c8bbcf2c8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$298.98
Total PnL
$-407.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
145 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$73.43
$3.63
- NO
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-22?
71 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$70.97
$29.10
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
137 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$69.15
$-2.05
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?
56 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$55.99
$40.31
- YES
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?
29 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$29.42
$14.71
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
5 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.03
$-0.13
- YES
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?
9881 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
- YES
GTA VI released before June 2026?
2239 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-71.64
- NO
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
904 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-70.52
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
508 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-40.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.42Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.53Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.18Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.10Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.47Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.11Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.20Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.12Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.09Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.11Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.91Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.11Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.02Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.03Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.12Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.13Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.12Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.13Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.12Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reza" or "Pahlavi" during the State of the Union address?$0.14Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 23:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.